Wonder Egg Priority
Rating Average: 2.5000Rating Stddev: 0.5
Review Count: 2
Existing Best Bet #: 2.43067655807339
( $rating_average - $rating_stddev ) + ( log($reviews) / log(5) )
( 2.5000 - 0.5 ) + ( 0.693147180559945 / 1.6094379124341 )
( 2 ) - 0.430676558073393
Proposed Best Bet #:
( ( $rating_average - ( $rating_stddev / 2) ) - ( ( $stddev==0 and $reviews<5)? .5: 0 ) * $similarity
( ( 2.5000 - 0.25 ) - 0 ) * $similarity
( 2.25 - 0 ) * $similarity
2.25 * $similarity
In English: Average rating minus half the standard deviation of the ratings, with a penalty of half a rating point if there are fewer then five reviews with no variation in their ratings.
Discussion: This uses the average rating as the base, lowering the overall rating based on the amount of variance in the ratings. Additionally it lowers the rating if only a few people have rated it and they've all given it the same score. Perhaps shows with few ratings shouldn't even show up in best bets.
Keywords: 8 - 2021, Drama, Horror, Mystery, TV, Fantasy, Weird, Middle School
For reference, Devil Doll's similarity calc is this:
( $matching_keys * ( $matching_keys / $total_keys ) * $total_keys ) / ( $total_keys * $total_keys )
| Title | Key Match | Rating | Rating - stddev | Devil Doll's Similarity Calc | New bbet | New bbet * Similarity | Old bbet | Old bbet * Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Interlude | 5 | 3.75 | 3.53 | 39% | 3.53 | 1.38 | 4.18 | 1.63 |
| Death Note | 5 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 39% | 3.50 | 1.37 | 4.86 | 1.90 |
| Shadows House | 5 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 39% | 3.50 | 1.37 | 4.00 | 1.56 |
| Mouryou no Hako | 5 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 39% | 3.50 | 1.37 | 4.00 | 1.56 |
| Jigoku Shoujo | 5 | 3.60 | 3.36 | 39% | 3.36 | 1.31 | 4.11 | 1.61 |
| Higurashi no Naku Koro ni Kai | 5 | 3.50 | 3.25 | 39% | 3.25 | 1.27 | 3.43 | 1.34 |
| Ayakashi - Japanese Classic Horror | 5 | 3.50 | 3.25 | 39% | 3.25 | 1.27 | 3.43 | 1.34 |
| Chaos;Head | 5 | 3.25 | 3.03 | 39% | 3.03 | 1.18 | 3.68 | 1.44 |
| Urasekai Picnic | 5 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 39% | 2.50 | 0.98 | 3.43 | 1.34 |
| Persona 4: The Animation | 5 | 3.00 | 2.50 | 39% | 2.50 | 0.98 | 2.43 | 0.95 |
| Kurozuka | 6 | 2.25 | 1.71 | 56% | 1.71 | 0.96 | 2.02 | 1.14 |
| Shoujo Kakumei Utena | 4 | 3.83 | 3.65 | 25% | 3.65 | 0.91 | 5.26 | 1.31 |
| Kamichu! | 4 | 3.80 | 3.60 | 25% | 3.60 | 0.90 | 4.40 | 1.10 |
| Rozen Maiden | 4 | 3.75 | 3.53 | 25% | 3.53 | 0.88 | 4.61 | 1.15 |
| Re: Zero Kara Hajimeru Isekai Seikatsu (TV 2) | 4 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 25% | 3.50 | 0.88 | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| Sonny Boy | 4 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 25% | 3.50 | 0.88 | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| Yakusoku no Neverland | 4 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 25% | 3.50 | 0.88 | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| Jigoku Shoujo Futakomori | 4 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 25% | 3.50 | 0.88 | 4.68 | 1.17 |
| Made in Abyss: Retsujitsu no Ougonkyou | 4 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 25% | 3.50 | 0.88 | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| Mushishi: Zoku-Shō | 4 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 25% | 3.50 | 0.88 | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| Kujira no Kora wa Sajō ni Utau | 4 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 25% | 3.50 | 0.88 | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| Re: Zero Kara Hajimeru Isekai Seikatsu | 4 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 25% | 3.50 | 0.88 | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| Abenobashi Mahou Shotengai | 4 | 3.67 | 3.43 | 25% | 3.43 | 0.86 | 4.31 | 1.08 |
| Ningyo no Kizu | 4 | 3.50 | 3.25 | 25% | 3.25 | 0.81 | 3.43 | 0.86 |
| Puella Magi Madoka Magica (TV) | 4 | 3.50 | 3.25 | 25% | 3.25 | 0.81 | 3.86 | 0.97 |
| Mawaru Penguindrum | 4 | 3.50 | 3.25 | 25% | 3.25 | 0.81 | 3.43 | 0.86 |
| ID: INVADED | 4 | 3.50 | 3.25 | 25% | 3.25 | 0.81 | 3.43 | 0.86 |
| Rozen Maiden ~Träumend~ | 4 | 3.33 | 3.10 | 25% | 3.10 | 0.77 | 3.54 | 0.89 |
| xxxHOLiC Kei | 4 | 3.33 | 3.10 | 25% | 3.10 | 0.77 | 3.54 | 0.89 |
| Monster | 4 | 3.50 | 3.07 | 25% | 3.07 | 0.77 | 3.50 | 0.87 |
| Natsu no Arashi! | 4 | 3.20 | 2.83 | 25% | 2.83 | 0.71 | 3.45 | 0.86 |
| D.Gray-man | 4 | 3.00 | 2.59 | 25% | 2.59 | 0.65 | 2.87 | 0.72 |
| Boukyaku no Senritsu | 4 | 3.00 | 2.55 | 25% | 2.55 | 0.64 | 3.11 | 0.78 |
| Nagi no Asukara | 4 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 25% | 2.50 | 0.62 | 3.00 | 0.75 |
| JoJo no Kimyou na Bouken: Stardust Crusaders Egypt-hen | 4 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 25% | 2.50 | 0.62 | 3.00 | 0.75 |
| Isekai de Cheat Skill o Te ni Shita Ore wa, Genjitsu Sekai o mo Musousuru | 4 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 25% | 2.50 | 0.62 | 3.00 | 0.75 |
| Solo Leveling S2 -Arise from the Shadow- | 4 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 25% | 2.50 | 0.62 | 3.00 | 0.75 |
| Kagami no Kojō | 4 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 25% | 2.50 | 0.62 | 3.00 | 0.75 |
| Yuuki Yuuna wa Yuusha de Aru: Washio Sumi no Shou | 4 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 25% | 2.50 | 0.62 | 3.00 | 0.75 |
| Nozomanu Fushi no Boukensha | 4 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 25% | 2.50 | 0.62 | 3.00 | 0.75 |
| Jojo's Bizarre Adventure (TV) | 4 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 25% | 2.50 | 0.62 | 3.43 | 0.86 |
| Bungou to Alchemist: Shinpan no Haguruma | 4 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 25% | 2.50 | 0.62 | 3.00 | 0.75 |
| Yūki Yūna wa Yūsha de Aru: Yūsha no Shō | 4 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 25% | 2.50 | 0.62 | 3.00 | 0.75 |
| Samurai Flamenco | 4 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 25% | 2.50 | 0.62 | 3.00 | 0.75 |
| Chainsaw Man | 4 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 25% | 2.50 | 0.62 | 3.43 | 0.86 |
| Higurashi no Naku Koro ni Rei | 4 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 25% | 2.50 | 0.62 | 3.00 | 0.75 |
| Gingitsune | 4 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 25% | 2.50 | 0.62 | 3.00 | 0.75 |
| Gokukoku no Brynhildr | 4 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 25% | 2.50 | 0.62 | 3.00 | 0.75 |
| Big Order TV & OVA | 4 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 25% | 2.50 | 0.62 | 3.00 | 0.75 |
| Oshi no Ko S1 | 4 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 25% | 2.50 | 0.62 | 3.00 | 0.75 |
