Best bets for:

Bungou to Alchemist: Shinpan no Haguruma

Rating Average: 3.0000
Rating Stddev: 0
Review Count: 1
Existing Best Bet #: 3
( $rating_average - $rating_stddev ) + ( log($reviews) / log(5) )
( 3.0000 - 0 ) + ( 0 / 1.6094379124341 )
( 3 ) - 0
Proposed Best Bet #:
( ( $rating_average - ( $rating_stddev / 2) ) - ( ( $stddev==0 and $reviews<5)? .5: 0 ) * $similarity
( ( 3.0000 - 0 ) - 0.5 ) * $similarity
( 3 - 0.5 ) * $similarity
2.5 * $similarity
In English: Average rating minus half the standard deviation of the ratings, with a penalty of half a rating point if there are fewer then five reviews with no variation in their ratings.
Discussion: This uses the average rating as the base, lowering the overall rating based on the amount of variance in the ratings. Additionally it lowers the rating if only a few people have rated it and they've all given it the same score. Perhaps shows with few ratings shouldn't even show up in best bets.

Keywords: 8 - 2020, Action, Comedy, Drama, Mystery, TV, Fantasy, Fighting

For reference, Devil Doll's similarity calc is this:
( $matching_keys * ( $matching_keys / $total_keys ) * $total_keys ) / ( $total_keys * $total_keys )
Pool of potential series:
TitleKey MatchRatingRating - stddevDevil Doll's Similarity CalcNew bbetNew bbet * SimilarityOld bbetOld bbet * Similarity
Re: Zero Kara Hajimeru Isekai Seikatsu (TV 2) 7 4.00 4.00 76% 3.50 2.68 4.00 3.06
Rozen Maiden 6 3.75 3.53 56% 3.53 1.99 4.61 2.59
Re: Zero Kara Hajimeru Isekai Seikatsu 6 4.00 4.00 56% 3.50 1.97 4.00 2.25
Persona 4: The Animation 7 3.00 2.50 76% 2.50 1.91 2.43 1.86
Sekirei 6 3.50 3.25 56% 3.25 1.83 4.11 2.31
Re:CREATORS 6 3.50 3.25 56% 3.25 1.83 3.43 1.93
Omamori Himari 6 3.00 2.65 56% 2.65 1.49 3.15 1.77
Ichiban Ushiro no Daimaou 6 3.00 2.59 56% 2.59 1.46 3.30 1.85
G-on Riders 6 3.00 2.59 56% 2.59 1.46 2.87 1.61
Erementar Gerad (TV) 6 3.00 2.59 56% 2.59 1.46 2.87 1.61
Needless 6 3.00 2.50 56% 2.50 1.41 2.86 1.61
Angel Beats! 6 2.91 2.46 56% 2.46 1.38 3.50 1.97
Mahou Shoujo Lyrical Nanoha A's 5 3.75 3.53 39% 3.53 1.38 4.18 1.63
Mahou Shoujo Lyrical Nanoha 5 3.75 3.53 39% 3.53 1.38 4.18 1.63
Digimon Tamers 5 3.75 3.53 39% 3.53 1.38 4.18 1.63
Interlude 5 3.75 3.53 39% 3.53 1.38 4.18 1.63
Rumic Theater 5 4.00 4.00 39% 3.50 1.37 4.00 1.56
Saiyuuki Reload Gunlock 5 4.00 4.00 39% 3.50 1.37 4.00 1.56
Suzumiya Haruhi no Shoushitsu 5 4.00 4.00 39% 3.50 1.37 4.68 1.83
Naruto Shippuuden (TV) 5 4.00 4.00 39% 3.50 1.37 4.00 1.56
Junketsu no Maria 5 4.00 4.00 39% 3.50 1.37 4.00 1.56
Noragami Aragoto 5 4.00 4.00 39% 3.50 1.37 4.00 1.56
Get Backers 5 3.78 3.46 39% 3.46 1.35 4.51 1.76
Abenobashi Mahou Shotengai 5 3.67 3.43 39% 3.43 1.34 4.31 1.68
X-Men 5 3.50 3.25 39% 3.25 1.27 3.43 1.34
Mousou Dairinin 5 3.50 3.25 39% 3.25 1.27 3.43 1.34
ID: INVADED 5 3.50 3.25 39% 3.25 1.27 3.43 1.34
Loveless (TV) 5 3.50 3.25 39% 3.25 1.27 3.43 1.34
Kiba 5 3.50 3.25 39% 3.25 1.27 3.43 1.34
Naruto 5 3.62 3.20 39% 3.20 1.25 4.87 1.90
Princess Lover! 6 2.67 2.20 56% 2.20 1.23 2.41 1.35
Rozen Maiden ~Träumend~ 5 3.33 3.10 39% 3.10 1.21 3.54 1.38
Koukaku no Regios 5 3.33 3.10 39% 3.10 1.21 3.54 1.38
Tears to Tiara 5 3.25 3.03 39% 3.03 1.18 3.68 1.44
Bleach 5 3.43 2.90 39% 2.90 1.13 3.59 1.40
s-CRY-ed 5 3.22 2.83 39% 2.83 1.11 3.80 1.49
Zero no Tsukaima 5 3.00 2.78 39% 2.78 1.08 3.98 1.56
Kaze no Stigma 5 3.17 2.72 39% 2.72 1.06 3.38 1.32
Meitantei Conan 5 3.20 2.71 39% 2.71 1.06 3.22 1.26
The Sacred Blacksmith 5 3.00 2.65 39% 2.65 1.03 3.15 1.23
D.Gray-man 5 3.00 2.59 39% 2.59 1.01 2.87 1.12
Eureka Seven 4 4.00 4.00 25% 4.00 1.00 5.00 1.25
Koukaku Kidoutai STAND ALONE COMPLEX 4 4.00 4.00 25% 4.00 1.00 5.43 1.36
Zero no Tsukaima: Futatsuki no Kishi 5 2.86 2.54 39% 2.54 0.99 3.43 1.34
Oshi no Ko S1 5 3.00 3.00 39% 2.50 0.98 3.00 1.17
Mushoku Tensei II - Isekai Ittara Honki Dasu (TV 3) 5 3.00 3.00 39% 2.50 0.98 3.00 1.17
Kyou Kara Maou 5 3.00 3.00 39% 2.50 0.98 3.00 1.17
Samurai Flamenco 5 3.00 3.00 39% 2.50 0.98 3.00 1.17
Akikan! 5 3.00 2.50 39% 2.50 0.98 2.43 0.95
Maou 2099 5 3.00 3.00 39% 2.50 0.98 3.00 1.17

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