Hinamatsuri
Rating Average: 4.0000Rating Stddev: 0
Review Count: 1
Existing Best Bet #: 4
( $rating_average - $rating_stddev ) + ( log($reviews) / log(5) )
( 4.0000 - 0 ) + ( 0 / 1.6094379124341 )
( 4 ) - 0
Proposed Best Bet #:
( ( $rating_average - ( $rating_stddev / 2) ) - ( ( $stddev==0 and $reviews<5)? .5: 0 ) * $similarity
( ( 4.0000 - 0 ) - 0.5 ) * $similarity
( 4 - 0.5 ) * $similarity
3.5 * $similarity
In English: Average rating minus half the standard deviation of the ratings, with a penalty of half a rating point if there are fewer then five reviews with no variation in their ratings.
Discussion: This uses the average rating as the base, lowering the overall rating based on the amount of variance in the ratings. Additionally it lowers the rating if only a few people have rated it and they've all given it the same score. Perhaps shows with few ratings shouldn't even show up in best bets.
Keywords: 5 - 2018, Comedy, TV, Psychics, Supernatural
For reference, Devil Doll's similarity calc is this:
( $matching_keys * ( $matching_keys / $total_keys ) * $total_keys ) / ( $total_keys * $total_keys )
| Title | Key Match | Rating | Rating - stddev | Devil Doll's Similarity Calc | New bbet | New bbet * Similarity | Old bbet | Old bbet * Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoku Owarimonogatari | 4 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 64% | 2.50 | 1.60 | 3.00 | 1.92 |
| Mob Psycho 100 | 4 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 64% | 2.50 | 1.60 | 3.00 | 1.92 |
| Kokoro Connect | 4 | 2.50 | 2.25 | 64% | 2.25 | 1.44 | 2.43 | 1.56 |
| Suzumiya Haruhi no Yuutsu | 3 | 3.80 | 3.60 | 36% | 3.60 | 1.30 | 4.83 | 1.74 |
| Durarara!! | 3 | 3.75 | 3.53 | 36% | 3.53 | 1.27 | 4.18 | 1.50 |
| Chio-chan no Tsuugakuro | 3 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 36% | 3.50 | 1.26 | 4.00 | 1.44 |
| Uchuu Senkan Tiramisu Zwei | 3 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 36% | 3.50 | 1.26 | 4.00 | 1.44 |
| Fruits Basket: The Final | 3 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 36% | 3.50 | 1.26 | 4.00 | 1.44 |
| Monogatari Series: Second Season | 3 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 36% | 3.50 | 1.26 | 4.00 | 1.44 |
| Kuroshitsuji: Book of Circus | 3 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 36% | 3.50 | 1.26 | 4.00 | 1.44 |
| Kakuriyo Yadomeshi | 3 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 36% | 3.50 | 1.26 | 4.00 | 1.44 |
| Mirai Shounen Konan | 3 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 36% | 3.50 | 1.26 | 4.43 | 1.60 |
| Fruits Basket 2nd Season | 3 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 36% | 3.50 | 1.26 | 4.00 | 1.44 |
| Ushio to Tora TV 2 | 3 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 36% | 3.50 | 1.26 | 4.00 | 1.44 |
| FLCL Progressive | 3 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 36% | 3.50 | 1.26 | 4.00 | 1.44 |
| Donten ni Warau | 3 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 36% | 3.50 | 1.26 | 4.00 | 1.44 |
| Sangatsu no Lion 2 | 3 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 36% | 3.50 | 1.26 | 4.00 | 1.44 |
| Fruits Basket (2019) | 3 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 36% | 3.50 | 1.26 | 4.00 | 1.44 |
| Noragami Aragoto | 3 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 36% | 3.50 | 1.26 | 4.00 | 1.44 |
| Hanamonogatari | 3 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 36% | 3.50 | 1.26 | 4.00 | 1.44 |
| Demi-chan wa Kataritai | 3 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 36% | 3.50 | 1.26 | 4.00 | 1.44 |
| Lupin The Third: Part 5 | 3 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 36% | 3.50 | 1.26 | 4.43 | 1.60 |
| Majin Tantei Nougami Neuro | 3 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 36% | 3.50 | 1.26 | 4.00 | 1.44 |
| Golden Kamuy 2 | 3 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 36% | 3.50 | 1.26 | 4.00 | 1.44 |
| Shinreigari | 3 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 36% | 3.50 | 1.26 | 4.00 | 1.44 |
| Haiyore! Nyaruko-san W | 3 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 36% | 3.50 | 1.26 | 4.00 | 1.44 |
| X (TV) | 3 | 3.75 | 3.47 | 36% | 3.47 | 1.25 | 4.91 | 1.77 |
| Shuffle! | 3 | 3.67 | 3.43 | 36% | 3.43 | 1.24 | 4.31 | 1.55 |
| Zombie-Loan | 3 | 3.67 | 3.43 | 36% | 3.43 | 1.24 | 3.88 | 1.40 |
| Heike Monogatari | 3 | 3.50 | 3.25 | 36% | 3.25 | 1.17 | 3.43 | 1.24 |
| To Aru Majutsu no Index II | 3 | 3.50 | 3.25 | 36% | 3.25 | 1.17 | 3.43 | 1.24 |
| Shakugan no Shana | 3 | 3.60 | 3.20 | 36% | 3.20 | 1.15 | 3.80 | 1.37 |
| Ultra Maniac TV | 3 | 3.60 | 3.20 | 36% | 3.20 | 1.15 | 3.80 | 1.37 |
| Kimagure Orange Road (TV) | 3 | 3.50 | 3.15 | 36% | 3.15 | 1.13 | 4.08 | 1.47 |
| Bakemonogatari | 3 | 3.50 | 3.12 | 36% | 3.12 | 1.12 | 3.85 | 1.39 |
| Vampire Knight | 3 | 3.33 | 3.10 | 36% | 3.10 | 1.12 | 3.54 | 1.28 |
| To Aru Kagaku no Railgun | 3 | 3.33 | 3.10 | 36% | 3.10 | 1.12 | 3.98 | 1.43 |
| xxxHOLiC Kei | 3 | 3.33 | 3.10 | 36% | 3.10 | 1.12 | 3.54 | 1.28 |
| Koukaku no Regios | 3 | 3.33 | 3.10 | 36% | 3.10 | 1.12 | 3.54 | 1.28 |
| Ga-Rei: Zero | 3 | 3.25 | 3.03 | 36% | 3.03 | 1.09 | 3.68 | 1.32 |
| Ghost Hunt | 3 | 3.25 | 3.03 | 36% | 3.03 | 1.09 | 3.68 | 1.32 |
| To LOVE-Ru | 3 | 3.40 | 3.00 | 36% | 3.00 | 1.08 | 3.60 | 1.30 |
| s-CRY-ed | 3 | 3.22 | 2.83 | 36% | 2.83 | 1.02 | 3.80 | 1.37 |
| Natsu no Arashi! | 3 | 3.20 | 2.83 | 36% | 2.83 | 1.02 | 3.45 | 1.24 |
| Gosyusho-sama Ninomiya-kun | 3 | 3.20 | 2.83 | 36% | 2.83 | 1.02 | 3.45 | 1.24 |
| Kaze no Stigma | 3 | 3.17 | 2.72 | 36% | 2.72 | 0.98 | 3.38 | 1.22 |
| To Aru Majutsu no Index | 3 | 3.00 | 2.71 | 36% | 2.71 | 0.98 | 3.54 | 1.27 |
| Himote House | 4 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 64% | 1.50 | 0.96 | 2.00 | 1.28 |
| JoJo no Kimyō na Bōken: Ōgon no Kaze | 4 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 64% | 1.50 | 0.96 | 2.00 | 1.28 |
| Saiki Kusuo no Psi Nan | 4 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 64% | 1.50 | 0.96 | 2.00 | 1.28 |
