Ao no Exorcist: Kyoto Fujō Ō-hen
Rating Average: 3.0000Rating Stddev: 0
Review Count: 1
Existing Best Bet #: 3
( $rating_average - $rating_stddev ) + ( log($reviews) / log(5) )
( 3.0000 - 0 ) + ( 0 / 1.6094379124341 )
( 3 ) - 0
Proposed Best Bet #:
( ( $rating_average - ( $rating_stddev / 2) ) - ( ( $stddev==0 and $reviews<5)? .5: 0 ) * $similarity
( ( 3.0000 - 0 ) - 0.5 ) * $similarity
( 3 - 0.5 ) * $similarity
2.5 * $similarity
In English: Average rating minus half the standard deviation of the ratings, with a penalty of half a rating point if there are fewer then five reviews with no variation in their ratings.
Discussion: This uses the average rating as the base, lowering the overall rating based on the amount of variance in the ratings. Additionally it lowers the rating if only a few people have rated it and they've all given it the same score. Perhaps shows with few ratings shouldn't even show up in best bets.
Keywords: 7 - 2017, Action, Drama, TV, Shounen, Supernatural, Sequel
For reference, Devil Doll's similarity calc is this:
( $matching_keys * ( $matching_keys / $total_keys ) * $total_keys ) / ( $total_keys * $total_keys )
| Title | Key Match | Rating | Rating - stddev | Devil Doll's Similarity Calc | New bbet | New bbet * Similarity | Old bbet | Old bbet * Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kekkai Sensen & Beyond | 6 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 73% | 2.50 | 1.84 | 3.00 | 2.20 |
| Kidō Senshi Gundam: Tekketsu no Orphans (TV 2) | 5 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 51% | 3.50 | 1.79 | 4.00 | 2.04 |
| Ushio to Tora TV 2 | 5 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 51% | 3.50 | 1.79 | 4.00 | 2.04 |
| Noragami Aragoto | 5 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 51% | 3.50 | 1.79 | 4.00 | 2.04 |
| Saber Marionette J to X | 5 | 3.67 | 3.43 | 51% | 3.43 | 1.75 | 3.88 | 1.98 |
| Loveless (TV) | 5 | 3.50 | 3.25 | 51% | 3.25 | 1.66 | 3.43 | 1.75 |
| Kiba | 5 | 3.50 | 3.25 | 51% | 3.25 | 1.66 | 3.43 | 1.75 |
| Omamori Himari | 5 | 3.00 | 2.65 | 51% | 2.65 | 1.35 | 3.15 | 1.61 |
| D.Gray-man | 5 | 3.00 | 2.59 | 51% | 2.59 | 1.32 | 2.87 | 1.46 |
| Full Metal Panic! The Second Raid | 4 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 32% | 4.00 | 1.31 | 5.29 | 1.73 |
| Digimon Adventure tri. | 5 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 51% | 2.50 | 1.28 | 3.00 | 1.53 |
| Hakuouki Hekketsuroku | 5 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 51% | 2.50 | 1.28 | 3.00 | 1.53 |
| Kannazuki no Miko | 5 | 3.00 | 2.50 | 51% | 2.50 | 1.28 | 2.43 | 1.24 |
| Yūki Yūna wa Yūsha de Aru: Yūsha no Shō | 5 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 51% | 2.50 | 1.28 | 3.00 | 1.53 |
| Nanatsu no Taizai: Kamigami no Gekirin | 5 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 51% | 2.50 | 1.28 | 3.00 | 1.53 |
| Vandread The Second Stage | 4 | 3.80 | 3.60 | 32% | 3.60 | 1.18 | 4.40 | 1.44 |
| Darker than Black - Kuro no Keiyakusha | 4 | 3.80 | 3.60 | 32% | 3.60 | 1.18 | 4.40 | 1.44 |
| Mahou Shoujo Lyrical Nanoha A's | 4 | 3.75 | 3.53 | 32% | 3.53 | 1.15 | 4.18 | 1.36 |
| Interlude | 4 | 3.75 | 3.53 | 32% | 3.53 | 1.15 | 4.18 | 1.36 |
| Natsu no Arashi! Akinai-chuu | 5 | 2.50 | 2.25 | 51% | 2.25 | 1.15 | 2.43 | 1.24 |
| Naruto Shippuuden (TV) | 4 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 32% | 3.50 | 1.14 | 4.00 | 1.31 |
| Hanamonogatari | 4 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 32% | 3.50 | 1.14 | 4.00 | 1.31 |
| Vinland Saga Season 2 | 4 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 32% | 3.50 | 1.14 | 4.00 | 1.31 |
| Fruits Basket: The Final | 4 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 32% | 3.50 | 1.14 | 4.00 | 1.31 |
| Suzumiya Haruhi no Shoushitsu | 4 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 32% | 3.50 | 1.14 | 4.68 | 1.53 |
| Gin no Saji Dai-2-ki | 4 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 32% | 3.50 | 1.14 | 4.00 | 1.31 |
| Psycho-Pass 3 | 4 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 32% | 3.50 | 1.14 | 4.00 | 1.31 |
| Jigoku Shoujo Futakomori | 4 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 32% | 3.50 | 1.14 | 4.68 | 1.53 |
| Shouwa Genroku Rakugo Shinjū: Sukeroku Futatabi-hen | 4 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 32% | 3.50 | 1.14 | 4.00 | 1.31 |
| Da Capo II 2nd Season | 4 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 32% | 3.50 | 1.14 | 4.43 | 1.45 |
| Sangatsu no Lion 2 | 4 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 32% | 3.50 | 1.14 | 4.00 | 1.31 |
| Fate/Stay Night: Heaven's Feel | 4 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 32% | 3.50 | 1.14 | 4.00 | 1.31 |
| Donten ni Warau | 4 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 32% | 3.50 | 1.14 | 4.00 | 1.31 |
| Kizumonogatari | 4 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 32% | 3.50 | 1.14 | 4.00 | 1.31 |
| Fruits Basket 2nd Season | 4 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 32% | 3.50 | 1.14 | 4.00 | 1.31 |
| Re: Zero Kara Hajimeru Isekai Seikatsu (TV 2) | 4 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 32% | 3.50 | 1.14 | 4.00 | 1.31 |
| X (TV) | 4 | 3.75 | 3.47 | 32% | 3.47 | 1.13 | 4.91 | 1.60 |
| Seikai no Senki II | 4 | 3.67 | 3.43 | 32% | 3.43 | 1.12 | 3.88 | 1.27 |
| Saber Marionette J | 4 | 3.64 | 3.40 | 32% | 3.40 | 1.11 | 4.80 | 1.57 |
| Taiho Shichauzo! (TV) | 4 | 3.67 | 3.29 | 32% | 3.29 | 1.08 | 4.03 | 1.32 |
| Koukaku Kidoutai S.A.C. 2nd GIG | 4 | 3.50 | 3.25 | 32% | 3.25 | 1.06 | 3.86 | 1.26 |
| Megalobox 2: Nomad | 4 | 3.50 | 3.25 | 32% | 3.25 | 1.06 | 3.43 | 1.12 |
| Re:CREATORS | 4 | 3.50 | 3.25 | 32% | 3.25 | 1.06 | 3.43 | 1.12 |
| Uta Kata | 4 | 3.33 | 3.10 | 32% | 3.10 | 1.01 | 3.54 | 1.16 |
| xxxHOLiC Kei | 4 | 3.33 | 3.10 | 32% | 3.10 | 1.01 | 3.54 | 1.16 |
| Seikai no Senki | 4 | 3.50 | 3.07 | 32% | 3.07 | 1.00 | 3.50 | 1.14 |
| Tears to Tiara | 4 | 3.25 | 3.03 | 32% | 3.03 | 0.99 | 3.68 | 1.20 |
| To LOVE-Ru | 4 | 3.40 | 3.00 | 32% | 3.00 | 0.98 | 3.60 | 1.18 |
| sola | 4 | 3.40 | 3.00 | 32% | 3.00 | 0.98 | 3.60 | 1.18 |
| Bleach | 4 | 3.43 | 2.90 | 32% | 2.90 | 0.95 | 3.59 | 1.17 |
