Ranpo Kitan: Game of Laplace
Rating Average: 2.0000Rating Stddev: 0
Review Count: 1
Existing Best Bet #: 2
( $rating_average - $rating_stddev ) + ( log($reviews) / log(5) )
( 2.0000 - 0 ) + ( 0 / 1.6094379124341 )
( 2 ) - 0
Proposed Best Bet #:
( ( $rating_average - ( $rating_stddev / 2) ) - ( ( $stddev==0 and $reviews<5)? .5: 0 ) * $similarity
( ( 2.0000 - 0 ) - 0.5 ) * $similarity
( 2 - 0.5 ) * $similarity
1.5 * $similarity
In English: Average rating minus half the standard deviation of the ratings, with a penalty of half a rating point if there are fewer then five reviews with no variation in their ratings.
Discussion: This uses the average rating as the base, lowering the overall rating based on the amount of variance in the ratings. Additionally it lowers the rating if only a few people have rated it and they've all given it the same score. Perhaps shows with few ratings shouldn't even show up in best bets.
Keywords: 6 - 2015, Drama, Mystery, TV, Modern, Middle School
For reference, Devil Doll's similarity calc is this:
( $matching_keys * ( $matching_keys / $total_keys ) * $total_keys ) / ( $total_keys * $total_keys )
| Title | Key Match | Rating | Rating - stddev | Devil Doll's Similarity Calc | New bbet | New bbet * Similarity | Old bbet | Old bbet * Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shigatsu wa Kimi no Uso | 5 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 69% | 2.50 | 1.74 | 3.00 | 2.08 |
| Sakurako-san no Ashimoto ni wa Shitai ga Umatteiru | 5 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 69% | 2.50 | 1.74 | 3.00 | 2.08 |
| Kodomo no Omocha | 4 | 3.87 | 3.62 | 44% | 3.62 | 1.61 | 5.05 | 2.24 |
| Kamichu! | 4 | 3.80 | 3.60 | 44% | 3.60 | 1.60 | 4.40 | 1.96 |
| Rozen Maiden | 4 | 3.75 | 3.53 | 44% | 3.53 | 1.57 | 4.61 | 2.05 |
| Majin Tantei Nougami Neuro | 4 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 44% | 3.50 | 1.56 | 4.00 | 1.78 |
| Ao no Orchestra | 4 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 44% | 3.50 | 1.56 | 4.00 | 1.78 |
| Gangsta. | 4 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 44% | 3.50 | 1.56 | 4.00 | 1.78 |
| Red Garden | 4 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 44% | 3.50 | 1.56 | 4.00 | 1.78 |
| Hana to Alice Satsujin Jiken | 4 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 44% | 3.50 | 1.56 | 4.00 | 1.78 |
| Jigoku Shoujo | 4 | 3.60 | 3.36 | 44% | 3.36 | 1.49 | 4.11 | 1.83 |
| Dance Dance Danseur | 4 | 3.50 | 3.25 | 44% | 3.25 | 1.44 | 3.43 | 1.52 |
| Piano | 4 | 3.50 | 3.25 | 44% | 3.25 | 1.44 | 3.43 | 1.52 |
| Higurashi no Naku Koro ni Kai | 4 | 3.50 | 3.25 | 44% | 3.25 | 1.44 | 3.43 | 1.52 |
| X-Men | 4 | 3.50 | 3.25 | 44% | 3.25 | 1.44 | 3.43 | 1.52 |
| ID: INVADED | 4 | 3.50 | 3.25 | 44% | 3.25 | 1.44 | 3.43 | 1.52 |
| Rozen Maiden ~Träumend~ | 4 | 3.33 | 3.10 | 44% | 3.10 | 1.38 | 3.54 | 1.58 |
| xxxHOLiC Kei | 4 | 3.33 | 3.10 | 44% | 3.10 | 1.38 | 3.54 | 1.58 |
| Monster | 4 | 3.50 | 3.07 | 44% | 3.07 | 1.36 | 3.50 | 1.55 |
| Ghost Hunt | 4 | 3.25 | 3.03 | 44% | 3.03 | 1.35 | 3.68 | 1.63 |
| Higashi no Eden | 4 | 3.40 | 3.00 | 44% | 3.00 | 1.33 | 3.60 | 1.60 |
| Meitantei Conan | 4 | 3.20 | 2.71 | 44% | 2.71 | 1.20 | 3.22 | 1.43 |
| Bishoujo Senshi Sailor Moon | 4 | 3.11 | 2.61 | 44% | 2.61 | 1.16 | 3.48 | 1.55 |
| Mizuiro Jidai | 4 | 3.00 | 2.59 | 44% | 2.59 | 1.15 | 2.87 | 1.27 |
| Digimon Adventure tri. | 4 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 44% | 2.50 | 1.11 | 3.00 | 1.33 |
| Higurashi no Naku Koro ni: Nekogoroshi-hen | 4 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 44% | 2.50 | 1.11 | 3.00 | 1.33 |
| Haikyu!! Second Season | 4 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 44% | 2.50 | 1.11 | 3.00 | 1.33 |
| Kamisama no Memo-chō | 4 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 44% | 2.50 | 1.11 | 3.00 | 1.33 |
| Shounen Hollywood: -Holly Stage for 50- | 4 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 44% | 2.50 | 1.11 | 3.00 | 1.33 |
| Gingitsune | 4 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 44% | 2.50 | 1.11 | 3.00 | 1.33 |
| Big Order TV & OVA | 4 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 44% | 2.50 | 1.11 | 3.00 | 1.33 |
| Gokukoku no Brynhildr | 4 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 44% | 2.50 | 1.11 | 3.00 | 1.33 |
| Gallery Fake | 4 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 44% | 2.50 | 1.11 | 3.00 | 1.33 |
| Tokyo Ghoul √A | 4 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 44% | 2.50 | 1.11 | 3.00 | 1.33 |
| Another | 4 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 44% | 2.50 | 1.11 | 3.43 | 1.52 |
| Subete ga F ni Naru | 4 | 3.00 | 2.50 | 44% | 2.50 | 1.11 | 2.43 | 1.08 |
| Oshi no Ko S1 | 4 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 44% | 2.50 | 1.11 | 3.00 | 1.33 |
| Owarimonogatari | 4 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 44% | 2.50 | 1.11 | 3.00 | 1.33 |
| Aki no Kanade | 4 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 44% | 2.50 | 1.11 | 3.00 | 1.33 |
| Nanabun no Nijyuuni | 4 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 44% | 2.50 | 1.11 | 3.00 | 1.33 |
| Boku Dake ga Inai Machi | 4 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 44% | 2.50 | 1.11 | 3.43 | 1.52 |
| Seishun Buta Yarou wa Bunny Girl Senpai no Yume wo Minai | 4 | 3.00 | 2.50 | 44% | 2.50 | 1.11 | 2.43 | 1.08 |
| Hourou Musuko | 4 | 3.00 | 2.50 | 44% | 2.50 | 1.11 | 2.43 | 1.08 |
| Isekai de Cheat Skill o Te ni Shita Ore wa, Genjitsu Sekai o mo Musousuru | 4 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 44% | 2.50 | 1.11 | 3.00 | 1.33 |
| Fate/ stay night Unlimited Blade Works TV | 4 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 44% | 2.50 | 1.11 | 3.00 | 1.33 |
| Persona 4: The Animation | 4 | 3.00 | 2.50 | 44% | 2.50 | 1.11 | 2.43 | 1.08 |
| .hack//SIGN | 4 | 3.00 | 2.49 | 44% | 2.49 | 1.11 | 4.27 | 1.90 |
| School Days (TV) | 4 | 2.83 | 2.30 | 44% | 2.30 | 1.02 | 2.88 | 1.28 |
| Ore no Kanojo to Osananajimi ga Shuraba Sugiru | 4 | 2.50 | 2.25 | 44% | 2.25 | 1.00 | 2.43 | 1.08 |
| Wonder Egg Priority | 4 | 2.50 | 2.25 | 44% | 2.25 | 1.00 | 2.43 | 1.08 |
