Best bets for:

Hitohira

Rating Average: 2.5000
Rating Stddev: 0.5
Review Count: 2
Existing Best Bet #: 2.43067655807339
( $rating_average - $rating_stddev ) + ( log($reviews) / log(5) )
( 2.5000 - 0.5 ) + ( 0.693147180559945 / 1.6094379124341 )
( 2 ) - 0.430676558073393
Proposed Best Bet #:
( ( $rating_average - ( $rating_stddev / 2) ) - ( ( $stddev==0 and $reviews<5)? .5: 0 ) * $similarity
( ( 2.5000 - 0.25 ) - 0 ) * $similarity
( 2.25 - 0 ) * $similarity
2.25 * $similarity
In English: Average rating minus half the standard deviation of the ratings, with a penalty of half a rating point if there are fewer then five reviews with no variation in their ratings.
Discussion: This uses the average rating as the base, lowering the overall rating based on the amount of variance in the ratings. Additionally it lowers the rating if only a few people have rated it and they've all given it the same score. Perhaps shows with few ratings shouldn't even show up in best bets.

Keywords: 8 - 2007, TV, Modern, Comedy, Drama, High School, Romance, Slice of Life

For reference, Devil Doll's similarity calc is this:
( $matching_keys * ( $matching_keys / $total_keys ) * $total_keys ) / ( $total_keys * $total_keys )
Pool of potential series:
TitleKey MatchRatingRating - stddevDevil Doll's Similarity CalcNew bbetNew bbet * SimilarityOld bbetOld bbet * Similarity
Toradora! 7 3.70 3.47 76% 3.47 2.66 4.67 3.58
Kareshi Kanojo no Jijoo 7 3.50 3.14 76% 3.14 2.40 4.70 3.60
Itazura na Kiss 7 3.50 3.12 76% 3.12 2.39 3.85 2.95
Midori no Hibi 7 3.40 3.00 76% 3.00 2.30 4.03 3.09
Lamune 7 3.00 2.68 76% 2.68 2.05 3.37 2.58
Nodame Cantabile 6 3.83 3.65 56% 3.65 2.05 4.57 2.57
BECK 6 3.83 3.65 56% 3.65 2.05 4.57 2.57
Fruits Basket 6 3.85 3.61 56% 3.61 2.03 5.23 2.94
Paradise Kiss 6 3.75 3.53 56% 3.53 1.99 4.18 2.35
Fruits Basket 2nd Season 6 4.00 4.00 56% 3.50 1.97 4.00 2.25
Fruits Basket: The Final 6 4.00 4.00 56% 3.50 1.97 4.00 2.25
Horimiya 6 4.00 4.00 56% 3.50 1.97 4.00 2.25
Nana 6 4.00 4.00 56% 3.50 1.97 4.43 2.49
Aishiteru Ze Baby 6 3.67 3.43 56% 3.43 1.93 4.31 2.42
Nanaka 6/17 6 3.67 3.43 56% 3.43 1.93 3.88 2.18
Minami-ke 6 3.60 3.36 56% 3.36 1.89 4.11 2.31
Koi Kaze 6 3.67 3.29 56% 3.29 1.85 4.03 2.27
ReLIFE 6 3.50 3.25 56% 3.25 1.83 3.43 1.93
Sono Bisque Doll wa Koi wo Suru 6 3.50 3.25 56% 3.25 1.83 3.43 1.93
Nagasarete Airantou 6 3.50 3.25 56% 3.25 1.83 4.11 2.31
Hana-Saku Iroha 6 3.50 3.25 56% 3.25 1.83 3.43 1.93
Da Capo Second Season 7 2.75 2.34 76% 2.34 1.79 2.78 2.13
School Days (TV) 7 2.83 2.30 76% 2.30 1.76 2.88 2.20
Clannad: After Story 6 3.33 3.10 56% 3.10 1.74 3.98 2.24
Yamato Nadeshiko Shichi Henge 6 3.33 3.10 56% 3.10 1.74 3.54 1.99
Hachimitsu to Kuroba 6 3.43 3.06 56% 3.06 1.72 3.91 2.20
Ladies versus Butlers! 7 2.50 2.25 76% 2.25 1.72 2.86 2.19
Sasameki Koto 7 2.50 2.25 76% 2.25 1.72 2.86 2.19
Clannad (TV) 6 3.38 3.03 56% 3.03 1.70 3.97 2.23
Sumomomo Momomo ~ Chijou Saikyou no Yome 6 3.20 3.00 56% 3.00 1.69 3.80 2.14
ef - a tale of memories 6 3.00 3.00 56% 3.00 1.69 4.00 2.25
REC 6 3.14 2.97 56% 2.97 1.67 4.00 2.25
Amagami SS 7 2.40 2.16 76% 2.16 1.65 2.91 2.23
CODE-E 7 2.33 2.10 76% 2.10 1.61 2.54 1.95
Kimi ga Nozomu Eien 6 3.30 2.85 56% 2.85 1.60 3.83 2.15
Seto no Hanayome (TV) 6 3.29 2.85 56% 2.85 1.60 3.61 2.03
Lovely Complex 6 3.17 2.82 56% 2.82 1.59 3.59 2.02
Ouran Koko Host Club 5 4.00 4.00 39% 4.00 1.56 5.11 2.00
Myself; Yourself 7 2.38 2.03 76% 2.03 1.55 2.97 2.27
Kimi ni Todoke 7 2.40 2.00 76% 2.00 1.53 2.60 1.99
Okusama wa Joshi Kousei 7 2.40 2.00 76% 2.00 1.53 2.60 1.99
Kaze no Stigma 6 3.17 2.72 56% 2.72 1.53 3.38 1.90
True Tears 6 3.00 2.59 56% 2.59 1.46 3.30 1.85
Blue Drop: Tenshi-tachi no Gikyoku 6 3.00 2.59 56% 2.59 1.46 2.87 1.61
Mizuiro Jidai 6 3.00 2.59 56% 2.59 1.46 2.87 1.61
School Rumble 5 3.89 3.73 39% 3.73 1.46 4.94 1.93
Mai-HiME 5 3.88 3.71 39% 3.71 1.45 4.84 1.89
Canvas 2 ~Niji Iro no Sketch~ 6 3.00 2.55 56% 2.55 1.44 3.11 1.75
Ichigo 100% TV 6 2.75 2.53 56% 2.53 1.43 3.18 1.79
Kimikiss Pure Rouge 6 2.75 2.53 56% 2.53 1.43 3.18 1.79

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