Best bets for:

Cross Game

Rating Average: 3.8000
Rating Stddev: 0.4
Review Count: 5
Existing Best Bet #: 4.4
( $rating_average - $rating_stddev ) + ( log($reviews) / log(5) )
( 3.8000 - 0.4 ) + ( 1.6094379124341 / 1.6094379124341 )
( 3.4 ) - 1
Proposed Best Bet #:
( ( $rating_average - ( $rating_stddev / 2) ) - ( ( $stddev==0 and $reviews<5)? .5: 0 ) * $similarity
( ( 3.8000 - 0.2 ) - 0 ) * $similarity
( 3.6 - 0 ) * $similarity
3.6 * $similarity
In English: Average rating minus half the standard deviation of the ratings, with a penalty of half a rating point if there are fewer then five reviews with no variation in their ratings.
Discussion: This uses the average rating as the base, lowering the overall rating based on the amount of variance in the ratings. Additionally it lowers the rating if only a few people have rated it and they've all given it the same score. Perhaps shows with few ratings shouldn't even show up in best bets.

Keywords: 7 - 2009, TV, Modern, Action, High School, Romance, Sports

For reference, Devil Doll's similarity calc is this:
( $matching_keys * ( $matching_keys / $total_keys ) * $total_keys ) / ( $total_keys * $total_keys )
Pool of potential series:
TitleKey MatchRatingRating - stddevDevil Doll's Similarity CalcNew bbetNew bbet * SimilarityOld bbetOld bbet * Similarity
Hayate no Gotoku !! 6 3.75 3.53 73% 3.53 2.60 4.18 3.07
Mai-HiME 5 3.88 3.71 51% 3.71 1.89 4.84 2.47
Suzuka 5 3.80 3.60 51% 3.60 1.84 4.40 2.24
Toradora! 5 3.70 3.47 51% 3.47 1.77 4.67 2.38
Full Metal Panic 5 3.64 3.28 51% 3.28 1.68 5.00 2.55
Asu no Yoichi! 6 2.50 2.25 73% 2.25 1.65 3.11 2.29
Shakugan no Shana 5 3.60 3.20 51% 3.20 1.63 3.80 1.94
Sumomomo Momomo ~ Chijou Saikyou no Yome 5 3.20 3.00 51% 3.00 1.53 3.80 1.94
Hatsukoi Gentei 5 3.20 2.83 51% 2.83 1.44 3.45 1.76
Full Metal Panic! The Second Raid 4 4.00 4.00 32% 4.00 1.31 5.29 1.73
Ouran Koko Host Club 4 4.00 4.00 32% 4.00 1.31 5.11 1.67
Code Geass Hangyaku no Lelouch Season 2 5 3.00 2.55 51% 2.55 1.30 3.11 1.58
Akikan! 5 3.00 2.50 51% 2.50 1.28 2.43 1.24
Hanasakeru Seishounen 5 3.00 3.00 51% 2.50 1.28 3.00 1.53
Maria+Holic 5 2.75 2.34 51% 2.34 1.19 2.78 1.42
BECK 4 3.83 3.65 32% 3.65 1.19 4.57 1.49
Fruits Basket 4 3.85 3.61 32% 3.61 1.18 5.23 1.71
Aoi Hana 5 2.80 2.31 51% 2.31 1.18 2.82 1.44
Rozen Maiden 4 3.75 3.53 32% 3.53 1.15 4.61 1.50
Paradise Kiss 4 3.75 3.53 32% 3.53 1.15 4.18 1.36
Ladies versus Butlers! 5 2.50 2.25 51% 2.25 1.15 2.86 1.46
Sasameki Koto 5 2.50 2.25 51% 2.25 1.15 2.86 1.46
Yagate Kimi ni Naru 4 4.00 4.00 32% 3.50 1.14 4.00 1.31
Aku no Hana 4 4.00 4.00 32% 3.50 1.14 4.00 1.31
Initial D Fourth Stage 4 4.00 4.00 32% 3.50 1.14 4.43 1.45
Fruits Basket 2nd Season 4 4.00 4.00 32% 3.50 1.14 4.00 1.31
Kimi wa Houkago Insomnia 4 4.00 4.00 32% 3.50 1.14 4.00 1.31
Just Because 4 4.00 4.00 32% 3.50 1.14 4.00 1.31
Kuzu no Honkai 4 4.00 4.00 32% 3.50 1.14 4.00 1.31
H2 4 4.00 4.00 32% 3.50 1.14 4.00 1.31
Happy Sugar Life 4 4.00 4.00 32% 3.50 1.14 4.00 1.31
Aki-Sora 4 4.00 4.00 32% 3.50 1.14 4.00 1.31
Maria-sama ga Miteru 4 4.00 4.00 32% 3.50 1.14 4.00 1.31
Yahari Ore no Seishun Love Comedy wa Machigatteiru. Zoku 4 4.00 4.00 32% 3.50 1.14 4.00 1.31
Horimiya 4 4.00 4.00 32% 3.50 1.14 4.00 1.31
Tsurune: Kazemai Kōkō Kyūdō-bu 4 4.00 4.00 32% 3.50 1.14 4.00 1.31
Yahari Ore no Seishun Love Come wa Machigatteiru. Kan 4 4.00 4.00 32% 3.50 1.14 4.00 1.31
Gakuen Heaven 4 4.00 4.00 32% 3.50 1.14 4.00 1.31
Fruits Basket: The Final 4 4.00 4.00 32% 3.50 1.14 4.00 1.31
Hanamonogatari 4 4.00 4.00 32% 3.50 1.14 4.00 1.31
X (TV) 4 3.75 3.47 32% 3.47 1.13 4.91 1.60
School Rumble Ni Gakki 4 3.67 3.43 32% 3.43 1.12 4.31 1.41
Aishiteru Ze Baby 4 3.67 3.43 32% 3.43 1.12 4.31 1.41
Nanaka 6/17 4 3.67 3.43 32% 3.43 1.12 3.88 1.27
Princess Lover! 5 2.67 2.20 51% 2.20 1.12 2.41 1.23
Saki Mahjong 5 2.67 2.20 51% 2.20 1.12 2.41 1.23
Kanon 4 3.70 3.38 32% 3.38 1.10 4.49 1.47
Kanon (2006) 4 3.60 3.36 32% 3.36 1.10 4.11 1.34
Saishu Heiki Kanojo 4 3.60 3.36 32% 3.36 1.10 4.54 1.48
Koi Kaze 4 3.67 3.29 32% 3.29 1.08 4.03 1.32

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