Best bets for:

Maria-sama ga Miteru 4th

Rating Average: 3.0000
Rating Stddev: 0
Review Count: 1
Existing Best Bet #: 3
( $rating_average - $rating_stddev ) + ( log($reviews) / log(5) )
( 3.0000 - 0 ) + ( 0 / 1.6094379124341 )
( 3 ) - 0
Proposed Best Bet #:
( ( $rating_average - ( $rating_stddev / 2) ) - ( ( $stddev==0 and $reviews<5)? .5: 0 ) * $similarity
( ( 3.0000 - 0 ) - 0.5 ) * $similarity
( 3 - 0.5 ) * $similarity
2.5 * $similarity
In English: Average rating minus half the standard deviation of the ratings, with a penalty of half a rating point if there are fewer then five reviews with no variation in their ratings.
Discussion: This uses the average rating as the base, lowering the overall rating based on the amount of variance in the ratings. Additionally it lowers the rating if only a few people have rated it and they've all given it the same score. Perhaps shows with few ratings shouldn't even show up in best bets.

Keywords: 8 - 2009, TV, Modern, Shoujo, Slice of Life, Acquired Taste, Drama, High School

For reference, Devil Doll's similarity calc is this:
( $matching_keys * ( $matching_keys / $total_keys ) * $total_keys ) / ( $total_keys * $total_keys )
Pool of potential series:
TitleKey MatchRatingRating - stddevDevil Doll's Similarity CalcNew bbetNew bbet * SimilarityOld bbetOld bbet * Similarity
Maria-sama ga Miteru ~Haru~ 7 4.00 4.00 76% 3.50 2.68 4.00 3.06
BECK 6 3.83 3.65 56% 3.65 2.05 4.57 2.57
Natsume Yuujinchou Shi 6 4.00 4.00 56% 3.50 1.97 4.00 2.25
Maria-sama ga Miteru 6 4.00 4.00 56% 3.50 1.97 4.00 2.25
Toradora! 6 3.70 3.47 56% 3.47 1.95 4.67 2.63
Aishiteru Ze Baby 6 3.67 3.43 56% 3.43 1.93 4.31 2.42
Koi Kaze 6 3.67 3.29 56% 3.29 1.85 4.03 2.27
Kareshi Kanojo no Jijoo 6 3.50 3.14 56% 3.14 1.77 4.70 2.64
xxxHOLiC Kei 6 3.33 3.10 56% 3.10 1.74 3.54 1.99
Kimi ni Todoke 7 2.40 2.00 76% 2.00 1.53 2.60 1.99
Mizuiro Jidai 6 3.00 2.59 56% 2.59 1.46 2.87 1.61
Shoujo Kakumei Utena 5 3.83 3.65 39% 3.65 1.42 5.26 2.05
Fruits Basket 5 3.85 3.61 39% 3.61 1.41 5.23 2.04
Kimi ni Todoke 2nd Season 6 3.00 3.00 56% 2.50 1.41 3.00 1.69
Gin no Saji Dai-2-ki 5 4.00 4.00 39% 3.50 1.37 4.00 1.56
H2 5 4.00 4.00 39% 3.50 1.37 4.00 1.56
Fruits Basket 2nd Season 5 4.00 4.00 39% 3.50 1.37 4.00 1.56
Aku no Hana 5 4.00 4.00 39% 3.50 1.37 4.00 1.56
Kuuchuu Buranko 5 4.00 4.00 39% 3.50 1.37 4.00 1.56
Aki-Sora 5 4.00 4.00 39% 3.50 1.37 4.00 1.56
Fruits Basket: The Final 5 4.00 4.00 39% 3.50 1.37 4.00 1.56
X (TV) 5 3.75 3.47 39% 3.47 1.36 4.91 1.92
Minami-ke 5 3.60 3.36 39% 3.36 1.31 4.11 1.61
Aoi Hana 6 2.80 2.31 56% 2.31 1.30 2.82 1.59
Piano 5 3.50 3.25 39% 3.25 1.27 3.43 1.34
Beastars 5 3.50 3.25 39% 3.25 1.27 3.43 1.34
Sasameki Koto 6 2.50 2.25 56% 2.25 1.27 2.86 1.61
Ladies versus Butlers! 6 2.50 2.25 56% 2.25 1.27 2.86 1.61
Bokura ga Ita 5 3.43 3.18 39% 3.18 1.24 4.14 1.62
Itazura na Kiss 5 3.50 3.12 39% 3.12 1.22 3.85 1.50
Clannad: After Story 5 3.33 3.10 39% 3.10 1.21 3.98 1.55
Midori no Hibi 5 3.40 3.00 39% 3.00 1.17 4.03 1.57
xxxHOLiC 6 2.40 2.00 56% 2.00 1.12 2.60 1.46
Kimi ga Nozomu Eien 5 3.30 2.85 39% 2.85 1.11 3.83 1.50
Chou-Gals! Kotobuki Ran 5 3.25 2.84 39% 2.84 1.11 3.28 1.28
xxxHOLiC - Manatsu no Yoru no Yume 5 3.17 2.72 39% 2.72 1.06 3.38 1.32
Lamune 5 3.00 2.68 39% 2.68 1.05 3.37 1.32
True Tears 5 3.00 2.59 39% 2.59 1.01 3.30 1.29
Mimi wo Sumaseba 4 4.00 4.00 25% 4.00 1.00 5.00 1.25
Oniisama E... 5 3.00 3.00 39% 2.50 0.98 3.00 1.17
Ao Haru Ride 5 3.00 3.00 39% 2.50 0.98 3.00 1.17
Hibike! Euphonium 3 5 3.00 3.00 39% 2.50 0.98 3.00 1.17
Genji Monogatari Sennenki 5 3.00 3.00 39% 2.50 0.98 3.00 1.17
Maria-sama ga Miteru 3rd 5 3.00 3.00 39% 2.50 0.98 3.00 1.17
Gingitsune 5 3.00 3.00 39% 2.50 0.98 3.00 1.17
Angel Beats! 5 2.91 2.46 39% 2.46 0.96 3.50 1.37
NieA_7 5 2.90 2.43 39% 2.43 0.95 3.39 1.32
School Rumble 4 3.89 3.73 25% 3.73 0.93 4.94 1.23
Da Capo Second Season 5 2.75 2.34 39% 2.34 0.91 2.78 1.09
Great Teacher Onizuka 4 3.83 3.65 25% 3.65 0.91 5.00 1.25

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