Best bets for:

Shigofumi ~Stories of Last Letter~

Rating Average: 4.0000
Rating Stddev: 0
Review Count: 3
Existing Best Bet #: 4.68260619448599
( $rating_average - $rating_stddev ) + ( log($reviews) / log(5) )
( 4.0000 - 0 ) + ( 1.09861228866811 / 1.6094379124341 )
( 4 ) - 0.682606194485985
Proposed Best Bet #:
( ( $rating_average - ( $rating_stddev / 2) ) - ( ( $stddev==0 and $reviews<5)? .5: 0 ) * $similarity
( ( 4.0000 - 0 ) - 0.5 ) * $similarity
( 4 - 0.5 ) * $similarity
3.5 * $similarity
In English: Average rating minus half the standard deviation of the ratings, with a penalty of half a rating point if there are fewer then five reviews with no variation in their ratings.
Discussion: This uses the average rating as the base, lowering the overall rating based on the amount of variance in the ratings. Additionally it lowers the rating if only a few people have rated it and they've all given it the same score. Perhaps shows with few ratings shouldn't even show up in best bets.

Keywords: 6 - 2008, TV, Modern, Drama, Supernatural, Tragedy

For reference, Devil Doll's similarity calc is this:
( $matching_keys * ( $matching_keys / $total_keys ) * $total_keys ) / ( $total_keys * $total_keys )
Pool of potential series:
TitleKey MatchRatingRating - stddevDevil Doll's Similarity CalcNew bbetNew bbet * SimilarityOld bbetOld bbet * Similarity
Jigoku Shoujo Futakomori 5 4.00 4.00 69% 3.50 2.43 4.68 3.25
Shinreigari 5 4.00 4.00 69% 3.50 2.43 4.00 2.78
Majin Tantei Nougami Neuro 5 4.00 4.00 69% 3.50 2.43 4.00 2.78
X (TV) 5 3.75 3.47 69% 3.47 2.41 4.91 3.41
Air TV 5 3.67 3.43 69% 3.43 2.38 4.31 2.99
Kanon 5 3.70 3.38 69% 3.38 2.35 4.49 3.12
H2O: Footprints in the Sand 6 2.75 2.34 100% 2.34 2.34 2.78 2.78
Jigoku Shoujo 5 3.60 3.36 69% 3.36 2.33 4.11 2.85
Mahou Tsukai ni Taisetsu na Koto 5 3.55 3.22 69% 3.22 2.23 4.38 3.04
xxxHOLiC Kei 5 3.33 3.10 69% 3.10 2.15 3.54 2.46
Clannad: After Story 5 3.33 3.10 69% 3.10 2.15 3.98 2.76
sola 5 3.40 3.00 69% 3.00 2.08 3.60 2.50
ef - a tale of melodies 5 3.00 2.59 69% 2.59 1.80 2.87 1.99
Angel Beats! 5 2.91 2.46 69% 2.46 1.71 3.50 2.43
Mouryou no Hako 4 4.00 4.00 44% 3.50 1.56 4.00 1.78
Hanbun no Tsuki ga Noboru Sora 4 4.00 4.00 44% 3.50 1.56 4.86 2.16
Da Capo II 2nd Season 4 4.00 4.00 44% 3.50 1.56 4.43 1.97
Sonny Boy 4 4.00 4.00 44% 3.50 1.56 4.00 1.78
Kakuriyo Yadomeshi 4 4.00 4.00 44% 3.50 1.56 4.00 1.78
Fruits Basket: The Final 4 4.00 4.00 44% 3.50 1.56 4.00 1.78
Fruits Basket 2nd Season 4 4.00 4.00 44% 3.50 1.56 4.00 1.78
Kaiji 4 4.00 4.00 44% 3.50 1.56 4.00 1.78
Toradora! 4 3.70 3.47 44% 3.47 1.54 4.67 2.08
Kannagi 5 2.57 2.21 69% 2.21 1.53 3.05 2.12
Aishiteru Ze Baby 4 3.67 3.43 44% 3.43 1.52 4.31 1.91
Kanon (2006) 4 3.60 3.36 44% 3.36 1.49 4.11 1.83
Binbou Shimai Monogatari 4 3.50 3.25 44% 3.25 1.44 3.43 1.52
Loveless (TV) 4 3.50 3.25 44% 3.25 1.44 3.43 1.52
Bokura ga Ita 4 3.43 3.18 44% 3.18 1.41 4.14 1.84
Itazura na Kiss 4 3.50 3.12 44% 3.12 1.39 3.85 1.71
Vampire Knight 4 3.33 3.10 44% 3.10 1.38 3.54 1.58
Natsume Yuujinchou 4 3.33 3.10 44% 3.10 1.38 3.54 1.58
Kara no Kyoukai 4 3.33 3.10 44% 3.10 1.38 3.54 1.58
Rozen Maiden ~Träumend~ 4 3.33 3.10 44% 3.10 1.38 3.54 1.58
Uta Kata 4 3.33 3.10 44% 3.10 1.38 3.54 1.58
Chaos;Head 4 3.25 3.03 44% 3.03 1.35 3.68 1.63
Ghost Hunt 4 3.25 3.03 44% 3.03 1.35 3.68 1.63
Ga-Rei: Zero 4 3.25 3.03 44% 3.03 1.35 3.68 1.63
Clannad (TV) 4 3.38 3.03 44% 3.03 1.35 3.97 1.76
To LOVE-Ru 4 3.40 3.00 44% 3.00 1.33 3.60 1.60
Bleach 4 3.43 2.90 44% 2.90 1.29 3.59 1.59
Kimi ga Nozomu Eien 4 3.30 2.85 44% 2.85 1.27 3.83 1.70
To Aru Majutsu no Index 4 3.00 2.71 44% 2.71 1.21 3.54 1.57
Meitantei Conan 4 3.20 2.71 44% 2.71 1.20 3.22 1.43
Lamune 4 3.00 2.68 44% 2.68 1.19 3.37 1.50
Blue Drop: Tenshi-tachi no Gikyoku 4 3.00 2.59 44% 2.59 1.15 2.87 1.27
True Tears 4 3.00 2.59 44% 2.59 1.15 3.30 1.47
Kannazuki no Miko 4 3.00 2.50 44% 2.50 1.11 2.43 1.08
Speed Grapher 4 3.00 3.00 44% 2.50 1.11 3.68 1.64
Natsume Yuujinchou Go 4 3.00 3.00 44% 2.50 1.11 3.00 1.33

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