Comparing Version 6 to Version 25:
Comments:
\[2010-03-01, Devil Doll]
<br />
<b>Warning: Spoilers of story development until episode 6!</b>
Without knowing how this series will proceed, just a few notes about the <i>many</i> warning signs shown in this episode:
* Lawrenceclaimedclaims that there are <i>no rules in a battle between merchants,merchants</i>, and considers himself advantageous as Amati appears<i>is said to</i> act like a knight. But whose word do we have for this? Only Mark's. So what if Amati is playing the game with the same rules, and has Mark on his side already? Mark hinted at Lawrence probably being much wealthier than himself, so heMark might even be jealous of Lawrence's success as trader.
* Lawrence purchases pyrite from Mark. But why would Mark sell the pyrite if he believes it to still rise in price? Mark is a merchant; why would he dispense with what looks like a huge profit for those in the know? This should be an alarm signal for Lawrence already. Mark attempted to purchase the nails from Lawrence for 10.5 rumiones at first, then agreed to pay 13.75 rumiones; it's not like he wouldn't swindle Lawrence when given the opportunity.
* Lawrence invests <i>his whole assets</i> from the nails sale into a risky business <small>(after Horo asked whether he has become a coward after the armor trade!)</small>.LawrenceHe still makes the same mistake as in[episode:1710#8|in the first episode,season], putting all his eggs into one basket. Won't he ever learn that this is mere gambling instead of serious trading?
*LawrenceActually, doeswe notdon't forknow ahow momentmuch thinkadditional aboutmoney whathe willowns happenat whenthis thepoint firstbut largehad investorshe beginbeen towealthier takehe theircould profits,have andpurchased instantly a hugemore supplyexpensive willgood meetto amake shrinkingbetter demand.use Thisof momenthis can'tavailable betransport farcapacity.
*awayLawrence athas thisbeen pointcelebrating inwhile timeothers aswere Marktrading. toldWhile Lawrencenot thatmaking <i>informationhim abouta thebad schememerchant isin spreadinggeneral, inthis townput alreadyhim into a situation of <i>information deficit</i>. <small>(thisWasn't beingthis athe double-edgedvery swordreason fromwhy hishe sidefailed asat itthe shouldarmor telltrade? LawrenceSo thathe's making the risksame ismistake highin nowthis andaspect mostas ofwell. theAnd "bookthis valuetime profit"he mayeven alreadyknows haveit! been<i>"Fool made,me butonce, atshame theon sameyou; timeFool pressesme Lawrencetwice, forshame time)</small>.on me."</i>
* Lawrence purchases a good of which he <i>knows</i> it is effectively worthless and is aware of the "dairy maid boom" bubble that has already formed <small>(as the market price is already <i>way</i> higher than he assumed)</small>. But whose word do we have for the current market price? Only Mark's. This is an [Wikipedia:Over-the-counter_%28finance%29|OTC trade] that comes with an additional risk.
* Lawrencehasdoes beennot celebratingfor whilea othersmoment werethink trading.about Whilewhat notwill makinghappen himwhen the first large investors begin to take their profits, and instantly a badhuge merchantsupply inwill general,meet a shrinking demand. This moment can't be far away at this putpoint himin intotime aas situationMark oftold Lawrence that <i>information deficitabout the boom is spreading in town for a whole day already</i>. Wasn't<small>(this thisbeing a double-edged sword from his side as it should tell Lawrence that the veryrisk reasonis whyhigh henow failedand atmost of the armor"book trade?value Soprofit" he'smay makingalready have been made, but at the same mistaketime inpresses thisLawrence aspectfor time as well.he's late on the bandwagon)</small>.
All of this in combination makes Lawrenceanot <i>trulythat lousy</i>great a merchant. So why are there so many people around telling us that he was a much better merchant than they are? I can live with Lawrence being a loser, I just question the character consistency of this story.
<br />
<b>Warning: Spoilers of story development until episode 6!</b>
Without knowing how this series will proceed, just a few notes about the <i>many</i> warning signs shown in this episode:
* Lawrence
* Lawrence purchases pyrite from Mark. But why would Mark sell the pyrite if he believes it to still rise in price? Mark is a merchant; why would he dispense with what looks like a huge profit for those in the know? This should be an alarm signal for Lawrence already. Mark attempted to purchase the nails from Lawrence for 10.5 rumiones at first, then agreed to pay 13.75 rumiones; it's not like he wouldn't swindle Lawrence when given the opportunity.
* Lawrence invests <i>his whole assets</i> from the nails sale into a risky business <small>(after Horo asked whether he has become a coward after the armor trade!)</small>.
*
*
* Lawrence purchases a good of which he <i>knows</i> it is effectively worthless and is aware of the "dairy maid boom" bubble that has already formed <small>(as the market price is already <i>way</i> higher than he assumed)</small>. But whose word do we have for the current market price? Only Mark's. This is an [Wikipedia:Over-the-counter_%28finance%29|OTC trade] that comes with an additional risk.
* Lawrence
All of this in combination makes Lawrence
