Hotarubi no Mori e
Rating Average: 4.0000Rating Stddev: 0
Review Count: 1
Existing Best Bet #: 4
( $rating_average - $rating_stddev ) + ( log($reviews) / log(5) )
( 4.0000 - 0 ) + ( 0 / 1.6094379124341 )
( 4 ) - 0
Proposed Best Bet #:
( ( $rating_average - ( $rating_stddev / 2) ) - ( ( $stddev==0 and $reviews<5)? .5: 0 ) * $similarity
( ( 4.0000 - 0 ) - 0.5 ) * $similarity
( 4 - 0.5 ) * $similarity
3.5 * $similarity
In English: Average rating minus half the standard deviation of the ratings, with a penalty of half a rating point if there are fewer then five reviews with no variation in their ratings.
Discussion: This uses the average rating as the base, lowering the overall rating based on the amount of variance in the ratings. Additionally it lowers the rating if only a few people have rated it and they've all given it the same score. Perhaps shows with few ratings shouldn't even show up in best bets.
Keywords: 8 - 2011, Drama, Romance, Movie, Fantasy, Modern, All Ages, Supernatural
For reference, Devil Doll's similarity calc is this:
( $matching_keys * ( $matching_keys / $total_keys ) * $total_keys ) / ( $total_keys * $total_keys )
| Title | Key Match | Rating | Rating - stddev | Devil Doll's Similarity Calc | New bbet | New bbet * Similarity | Old bbet | Old bbet * Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Momo e no Tegami | 6 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 56% | 3.50 | 1.97 | 4.00 | 2.25 |
| Kamichu! | 5 | 3.80 | 3.60 | 39% | 3.60 | 1.41 | 4.40 | 1.72 |
| Shin Kimagure Orange Road: So Shite, Ano Natsu No Hajimari | 5 | 3.80 | 3.60 | 39% | 3.60 | 1.41 | 4.40 | 1.72 |
| Fate/Stay Night: Heaven's Feel | 5 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 39% | 3.50 | 1.37 | 4.00 | 1.56 |
| Ōkami Kodomo no Ame to Yuki | 5 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 39% | 3.50 | 1.37 | 4.00 | 1.56 |
| Suzumiya Haruhi no Shoushitsu | 5 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 39% | 3.50 | 1.37 | 4.68 | 1.83 |
| Loveless (TV) | 5 | 3.50 | 3.25 | 39% | 3.25 | 1.27 | 3.43 | 1.34 |
| Kimagure Orange Road: Ano hi ni Kaeritai | 4 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 25% | 4.00 | 1.00 | 5.00 | 1.25 |
| Mimi wo Sumaseba | 4 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 25% | 4.00 | 1.00 | 5.00 | 1.25 |
| Fruits Basket -prelude- | 5 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 39% | 2.50 | 0.98 | 3.00 | 1.17 |
| Waka Okami wa Shōgakusei! | 5 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 39% | 2.50 | 0.98 | 3.00 | 1.17 |
| Andersen Dōwa - Ningyo Hime | 5 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 39% | 2.50 | 0.98 | 3.00 | 1.17 |
| Sora no Aosa o Shiru Hito yo | 5 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 39% | 2.50 | 0.98 | 3.00 | 1.17 |
| Hirune Hime: Shiranai Watashi no Monogatari | 5 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 39% | 2.50 | 0.98 | 3.00 | 1.17 |
| Taiyō no Ōji: Horusu no Daibōken | 5 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 39% | 2.50 | 0.98 | 3.00 | 1.17 |
| Kuro no Su - Chronus | 5 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 39% | 2.50 | 0.98 | 3.00 | 1.17 |
| Aquarian Age | 5 | 2.67 | 2.43 | 39% | 2.43 | 0.95 | 2.88 | 1.12 |
| Shoujo Kakumei Utena | 4 | 3.83 | 3.65 | 25% | 3.65 | 0.91 | 5.26 | 1.31 |
| Fruits Basket | 4 | 3.85 | 3.61 | 25% | 3.61 | 0.90 | 5.23 | 1.31 |
| Princess Tutu | 4 | 3.75 | 3.53 | 25% | 3.53 | 0.88 | 4.18 | 1.04 |
| Tenchi Muyou! in Love | 4 | 3.80 | 3.53 | 25% | 3.53 | 0.88 | 4.94 | 1.24 |
| Death Note (live-action movie #1) | 5 | 2.50 | 2.25 | 39% | 2.25 | 0.88 | 2.43 | 0.95 |
| Mirai Nikki Redial | 5 | 2.50 | 2.25 | 39% | 2.25 | 0.88 | 2.43 | 0.95 |
| Kimi no Na wa | 5 | 2.50 | 2.25 | 39% | 2.25 | 0.88 | 2.43 | 0.95 |
| Mirai no Mirai | 4 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 25% | 3.50 | 0.88 | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| Fruits Basket: The Final | 4 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 25% | 3.50 | 0.88 | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| Junkers Come Here | 4 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 25% | 3.50 | 0.88 | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| Jigoku Shoujo Futakomori | 4 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 25% | 3.50 | 0.88 | 4.68 | 1.17 |
| Ryū to Sobakasu no Hime | 4 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 25% | 3.50 | 0.88 | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| Sonny Boy | 4 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 25% | 3.50 | 0.88 | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| Tibet Inu Monogatari: Kin'iro no Dao Jie | 4 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 25% | 3.50 | 0.88 | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| Koe no Katachi | 4 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 25% | 3.50 | 0.88 | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| Mushishi: Zoku-Shō: Suzu no Shizuku | 4 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 25% | 3.50 | 0.88 | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| Cider no Yō ni Kotoba ga Wakiagaru | 4 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 25% | 3.50 | 0.88 | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| Fruits Basket 2nd Season | 4 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 25% | 3.50 | 0.88 | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| Omoide no Marnie | 4 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 25% | 3.50 | 0.88 | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| Monogatari Series: Second Season | 4 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 25% | 3.50 | 0.88 | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| The Garden of Words | 4 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 25% | 3.50 | 0.88 | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| Seishun Buta Yarō wa Yume-Miru Shōjo no Yume wo Minai | 4 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 25% | 3.50 | 0.88 | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| Toaru Hikūshi e no Tsuioku | 4 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 25% | 3.50 | 0.88 | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| Kimi to, Nami ni Noretara | 4 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 25% | 3.50 | 0.88 | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| Ginga Tetsudō no Yoru | 4 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 25% | 3.50 | 0.88 | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| Kizumonogatari | 4 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 25% | 3.50 | 0.88 | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| X (TV) | 4 | 3.75 | 3.47 | 25% | 3.47 | 0.87 | 4.91 | 1.23 |
| Kannagi | 5 | 2.57 | 2.21 | 39% | 2.21 | 0.86 | 3.05 | 1.19 |
| Karas | 4 | 3.67 | 3.43 | 25% | 3.43 | 0.86 | 3.88 | 0.97 |
| Shuffle! | 4 | 3.67 | 3.43 | 25% | 3.43 | 0.86 | 4.31 | 1.08 |
| Kanon | 4 | 3.70 | 3.38 | 25% | 3.38 | 0.84 | 4.49 | 1.12 |
| Jigoku Shoujo | 4 | 3.60 | 3.36 | 25% | 3.36 | 0.84 | 4.11 | 1.03 |
| Hauru no Uguko Shiro | 4 | 3.60 | 3.36 | 25% | 3.36 | 0.84 | 4.11 | 1.03 |
